Current activity South Pacific and New Zealand Region
Refer to your local government official warnings when making decisions
A cyclone is a large scale air mass that rotates around a strong centre of low atmospheric pressure. There are 4 main categories of large synoptic scale cyclones.
-
Tropical cyclone - Originates in the tropics between 5° to 23° south of the equator. Non frontal, warm core.
-
Subtropical cyclone - Originates between 23° to 50° south of the equator. Non frontal, warm core.
-
Extratropical cyclone - Originates between 23° to 60° south of the equator. Frontal, cold core.
-
Polar low - Originates between 60° to 90° south of the equator. Frontal, cold core.
Examples of a smaller scale cyclone is a waterspout, tornado, mesocyclone, dust devil and fire twister.
Of the 4 large scale cyclones, only subtropical and extratropical cyclones have a direct impact on the upper North Island of New Zealand. Regional met agencies name a tropical cyclone which retains it's name when it transitions beyond the tropics into New Zealand waters.
South Pacific tropical cyclone 2 week outlook
9 March update.
Next update before 25 March
10 Mar to 17 Mar 2025
Very low chance of a tropical cyclone
17 Mar to 24 Mar 2025
Low chance of a tropical cyclone
M
M
NZ region extratropical cyclone 2 week outlook
Cyclone within 1000km of upper North Island, NZ
9 March 2025 Next update before 25 March
10 Mar to 17 Mar 2025
Very Low chance of an extratropical cyclone below 995 hPa
17 Mar to 24 Mar 2025
Very low chance of a extratropical cyclone below 995 hPa
M
M
Hauraki Gulf Weather only offers an opinion on the development and track of a cyclonic storm. We will also post opinions and updates on our our social media channels including real time updates on our twitter account . In accordance to the NZ severe weather code of conduct, all official warnings are issued by MetService under the Meteorological Services Act 1990.